Asquith met German ambassador, Prince Lichnowsky, in the morning.
Asquith:
‘Things are pretty black. Germany is now in active war …We are waiting to know whether they are going to do the same with Belgium. 1 had a visit at breakfast from Lichnowsky, who was very emotionne and implored me not to side with France. He said that Germany, with her army cut in two between France and Russia, was far more likely to be crushed than France. He was very agitated, poor man, and wept. I told him that we had no desire to intervene, and that it rested largely with Germany to make intervention impossible if she would (1) not invade Belgium and (2) not send her fleet into the Channel to attack the unprotected north coast of France. He was bitter about the policy of his Government in not restraining Austria and seemed quite heart-broken.’ (Asquith, Brock, Letters, p. 146).
Cabinet met at 11am until 2pm, and then again at 6.30pm.
Churchill:
‘The Cabinet sat almost continuously throughout the Sunday, and up till lunch time it looked as if the majority would resign.’ (Churchill, World Crisis, p. 128).
They authorise Churchill’s decision to mobilise the fleet.
The Cabinet remained deeply divided.
Asquith:
‘There is a strong party including … reinforced by Ll George, Morley, & Harcourt who are against any kind of intervention in any event. Grey of course will never consent to this, & I shall not separate myself from him. Crewe, McKenna, & Samuel; are a moderating intermediate body. B Law writes that the [Conservative] opposition will back us up in any measures we may take for ‘the support of France & Russia’. I suppose a good number of our own party in the House of Commons are for absolute non-interference. It will be a shocking thing if at such a moment we break up.’ (Asquith, Brock, Letters, p. 146).
Cabinet’s attention turned towards Britain’s obligations to Belgium.
The 1839 Treaty of London was signed on 19 April 1839 by all of the Great Powers of Europe (Austria, France, the German Confederation, Netherlands, Russia, the United Kingdom). It guaranteed the independence and neutrality of Belgium and required Belgium to be perpetually neutral.
Churchill:
‘If Germany violates Belgian neutrality I want to go to war – if you don’t I must resign.’
John Morley:
‘if you do go to war I resign.’ (Quoted in Webb, ‘Political Journal’, p. 49).
Cabinet discussed what the response would be if a part of Belgium was invaded, and the Belgian government chose not to appeal to the guarantors of the 1839 treaty. Grey warned that the British could not be ‘more Belgian than the Belgians’ in respect to the country’s sovereignty.
Edward Grey:
‘The Belgian Treaty was of old date, but it had never dropped out of view. Ever since it was made its existence had been familiar to public opinion, and to each succeeding generation of public men. We had lived in the knowledge of it and in the belief that Britain was bound to defend the neutrality of Belgium… if her neutrality were violated, and the violation submitted to by Belgium and acquiesced in by her guarantors, her independence was gone for ever. She must become the satellite and serf of the great neighbour who had used her as he pleased. It would have been proved that she had a master, and had no friends able or willing to help her.’ (Grey, Volume 2, p. 8).
Morley remained opposed. He told the Cabinet:
Morley:
‘The German line on Belgian neutrality might be met in two ways. One, we might at once make it a casus belli; the other, we might protest with direct energy…and push on by diplomatising. What was the difficulty of the second course? Why, our supposed entanglement with France, and nothing else.’ (Morley, Memorandum, p. 14).
It was also likely discussed whether Britain really was obliged to honour the 1839 treaty at all. In 1914, the Netherlands would choose not to honour its guarantees to Belgium and would remain neutral throughout the war. Soon afterwards, Italy would also renege on its obligations towards the Triple Alliance and would not join Germany and Austria at war (ultimately joining the war on the side of the Entente in 1915).
Cabinet authorised Grey to tell the House of Commons that a substantial violation of Belgium ‘would…compel us to take action’.
Grey told Cabinet that he would resign if Britain did not go to the assistance of France, regardless of a violation of Belgian neutrality.
Asquith wrote in his diary that, in his view, the following six points were clear:
Asquith:
‘(1) We have no obligation of any kind either to France or Russia to give them military or naval help.
(2) The dispatch of the Expeditionary Force to help France at this moment is out of the question and would serve no object.
(3) We must not forget the ties created by our long-standing and intimate friendship with France.
(4) It is against British interests that France should be wiped out as a Great Power.
(5) We cannot allow Germany to use the Channel as a hostile base.
(6) We have obligations to Belgium to prevent it being utilized and absorbed by Germany.’
(Asquith, Memories Volume 2, p. 9)
Cabinet also authorised Grey to provide the French ambassador with a qualified assurance of British support. The promise of support proved too much for John Burns who now resigned.
Harcourt:
‘J. Burns sd. he could not agree to Grey’s formula to [French ambassador] Cambon this afternoon as to German fleet attack on Fr. coast and must resign and must resign at once – almost in tears.’ (Quoted in Webb, ‘Political Journal’, p. 49).
John Burns:
‘[I have] especial duty to dissociate myself … from such a crime as the contemplated war would be.’
“BOARD OF TRADE, “WHITEHALL GARDENS, S.W.
“August 2, 1914.
“DEAR MR. ASQUITH,-The decision of the Cabinet to intervene in an European war is an act with which I profoundly disagree.
“I therefore place in your hands my resignation of my office as President of Board of Trade.
“With deep respect, cordial sympathy and best wishes,-Yours sincerely,
“JOHN BURNS.”
(Quoted in Asquith, Genesis, p. 221).
Morley tells Asquith that he too must resign, but Asquith convinces him to leave it another day.
Morley:
‘[I] felt acutely what Mr Gladstone had often told me, that a public man can have no graver responsibility than quitting the Cabinet on public grounds.’ (Quoted in Morley, Memorandum, p. 16.).
Margot Asquith:
‘Conversation at dinner in Downing Street that night was difficult, and whatever topic was started was immediately dropped. When we had finished, Henry went down to the Cabinet room and Sir Edward Grey joined us in the drawing-room. We sat and talked in a disjointed way, all sitting in a circle.’ (Quoted in Morley, Memorandum, p. 16.).
Grey receives assurances from Paris that Belgium won’t be violated, but no answer from Berlin.
Asquith authorises army mobilisation that evening.
A German ultimatum is sent to Belgium in evening. It is received in Brussels at 7pm.